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Showing posts from April, 2017

2017 Update to NCAA Basketball Tournament Coaching Analysis

(This was originally posted in April of 2017 to various internet locations) Roughly two years ago, I posted  here  an analysis of NCAA tournament data that confirmed what we all already knew: Tom Izzo is the best tournament coach of all time. Yes, other coaches may have more Final Fours and more titles, but when it comes to performance relative to expectation, Izzo is the best. Two years ago, just after MSU's magical run to the Final Four in 2015, I presented data that calculated the numbers wins for each coach over what would be expected based on that coach's seed each year. At the time, I thought that I had created something new, but through the comments it became rapidly apparent that this type of statistic already existed under the name of PASE (Performance Against Seed Expectation) at least as far  back as 2008  when ESPN explained it, and writers such as our own  Nate Silver  have written on it more recently. The math behind my metric is slightly different than PASE,