In 1912, British philosopher and mathematician Bertrand Russell introduced the world to a story about a turkey. The turkey in question was fed and cared for every day. Each day, he would stick his head through a hole and on the other side he would received a veritable feast, at least from the perspective of a bird. Summer turned slowly into fall and the turkey grew steadily larger and stronger. It was a good life for the turkey and he saw no end in sight to his good fortune. But one day in late November, something different happened. When our plucky protagonist stuck his head through the hole, instead of a hearty mean he instead met his fate by the means of a very sharp knife. A little while later, he was the guest of honor at the farmer's Thanksgiving feast. This classic allegory is meant to illustrate the dangers of inductive reasoning. In other words, just because a certain trend has happened in the past does not mean that it will continue indefinitely. One has to di...